Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

the Phoenix Suns (19-14) battle the Denver Nuggets (20-11) Sunday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 10:30 pm ET (ABC/ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun’s vs. Nugget’s oddsand make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Suns were obliterated on their home court Friday, losing to Memphis 125-100 as 3-point home underdogs. The Suns have lost 2 in a row and are just 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games. They could be again without G Devin Booker and are just 1-4 straight up without their leading scorer this season.

The Nuggets beat the Trail Blazers 120-107 Friday, covering as 6-point home favorites. They used as +19 third quarter to push ahead and not look back. Denver has covered 3 of its last 5, but is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games. The Nuggets rank no. 1 in 3-point field goal percentage (38.9%).

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Sun’s at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 am ET.

  • Money Line (ML): Sun’s +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Sun’s +3.5 (-108) | Nuggets -3.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -115 | B: -105)

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Suns at Nuggets key injuries

Suns

  • G Devin Booker (groin) questionable
  • f CameronJohnson (meniscus) out

nuggets

  • f Jamal Murray (foot) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Suns at Nuggets picks and predictions

prediction

Sun’s 116, Nugget’s 114

money line

PASSPORT.

This spread and moneyline seem to indicate that Booker will play in the game. I would wait to play anything until the official status of the Suns’ best player is certain.

I am proceeding in mindset that Booker will play. Considering the number of points on the spread, I would still prefer to head there for value instead of the moneyline odds.

Against the spread

BET SUN +3.5 (-108).

When the Suns are at full strength, as we saw for most of last season, they are among the best teams in the NBA on both ends of the court. They were the only team in the NBA to be top 5 in offensive and defensive rating.

Outside of F Jae Crowder, they haven’t lost many pieces from that roster. Behind C Deandre Aytonthey also have the size to deal with two-time MVP C Nikola Jokić.

The Nuggets are just 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10. The Suns have struggled without Booker, but they are 18-10 straight up when he does play.

Back the SUN +3.5 (-108) given their strength when healthy and the Nuggets’ inability to cover in recent weeks.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-105).

The Suns are 15-18 O/U this season while the Nuggets are 14-17 O/U. The Suns have also gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games and will be without Johnson, 1 of their key 3-and-D players.

The Nuggets will likely have both F Michael Porter Jr and Murray, but considering they’ve been on the injury report over the last week, they may not see 35+ minutes. The Nuggets have gone Under in 4 straight and in 6 of their last 10.

Considering the season-long trends, back the UNDER 230.5 (-105).

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